Carnelian Bay, CA housing market — Condo/Co-op
See Carnelian Bay, CA median sale price, sale-to-list ratio, supply, and days on market for condo/co-op, with source periods and historical context.
- Median sale price
- $610,000
- Average sale-to-list ratio
- 94.0%
- Months of supply
- 2.0 months
- Median days on market
- 202.0 days
Redfin Data Center methodology · 2026-05-01 to 2026-05-31 · Not seasonally adjusted · Older observation
Median sale price per square foot: $442.
This condo/co-op snapshot describes the source reporting period above. Sale-to-list compares recorded sale prices with asking prices; supply and days on market describe different aspects of the same observation. These are market statistics, not an individual home valuation.
Before you make an offer
For Carnelian Bay, condo/co-op, 2026-05-01 to 2026-05-31, the average final sale-to-list ratio was 94.0% and supply was 2.0 months (not seasonally adjusted). These historical market aggregates provide offer context; compare individual comparable sales and observed condition before deciding a price. They do not predict acceptance.
Redfin methodology: sale-to-list uses final sale and final list prices; median days on market describes homes going under contract during the reporting period.
Source observations
| Period beginning | Period ending | Median sale price | Sale-to-list | Supply | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-31 | $610,000 | 94.0% | 2.0 months | 202.0 days |
| 2026-04-01 | 2026-04-30 | $555,000 | 92.5% | 2.0 months | 375.0 days |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026-03-31 | $540,000 | 93.9% | 2.0 months | 19.0 days |
| 2025-10-01 | 2025-10-31 | $625,000 | 89.4% | 3.0 months | 530.0 days |
| 2025-07-01 | 2025-07-31 | $625,000 | 94.8% | 3.0 months | 161.0 days |
| 2025-06-01 | 2025-06-30 | $513,000 | 95.9% | 1.5 months | 268.0 days |
| 2024-11-01 | 2024-11-30 | $590,000 | 98.5% | 3.0 months | 208.0 days |
| 2024-03-01 | 2024-03-31 | $695,000 | 98.6% | 0.3 months | 46.0 days |
| 2023-09-01 | 2023-09-30 | $870,000 | 96.8% | 1.0 months | 110.0 days |
| 2023-05-01 | 2023-05-31 | $795,000 | 99.5% | 2.0 months | 28.0 days |
| 2022-11-01 | 2022-11-30 | $965,000 | 100.0% | Not available | 82.0 days |
| 2022-08-01 | 2022-08-31 | $850,000 | 106.4% | 2.0 months | 8.0 days |
| 2022-05-01 | 2022-05-31 | $765,000 | 102.1% | Not available | 7.0 days |
| 2021-12-01 | 2021-12-31 | $560,000 | 94.1% | Not available | 46.0 days |
| 2021-11-01 | 2021-11-30 | $775,000 | 103.5% | 2.0 months | 47.0 days |
| 2021-06-01 | 2021-06-30 | $727,750 | 122.2% | Not available | 7.0 days |
| 2021-05-01 | 2021-05-31 | $561,000 | 102.0% | 1.0 months | 39.0 days |
| 2021-04-01 | 2021-04-30 | $601,000 | 120.2% | 2.0 months | 6.0 days |
| 2020-10-01 | 2020-10-31 | $517,500 | 118.3% | Not available | 29.0 days |
| 2020-09-01 | 2020-09-30 | $459,000 | 100.0% | 1.0 months | 39.0 days |
| 2020-08-01 | 2020-08-31 | $417,000 | 97.3% | 0.5 months | 58.0 days |
| 2020-07-01 | 2020-07-31 | $462,000 | 98.5% | 0.6 months | 45.0 days |
| 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-30 | $480,000 | 92.3% | 5.0 months | 95.0 days |
| 2020-03-01 | 2020-03-31 | $525,000 | 98.1% | 1.0 months | 137.0 days |
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Market trends and broader context
Source geography and property type are shown for every series. Broader context is not a local market estimate. Charts may use different source reporting windows.
Months Of Supply — Carnelian Bay, CA
external_market_factor_snapshots · Condo/Co-op
| Period ending | Value (months) |
|---|---|
| 2018-09-30 | 3.0 |
| 2019-06-30 | 3.0 |
| 2019-08-31 | 1.0 |
| 2019-09-30 | 1.0 |
| 2019-10-31 | 0.3 |
| 2020-03-31 | 1.0 |
| 2020-06-30 | 5.0 |
| 2020-07-31 | 0.6 |
| 2020-08-31 | 0.5 |
| 2020-09-30 | 1.0 |
| 2021-04-30 | 2.0 |
| 2021-05-31 | 1.0 |
| 2021-11-30 | 2.0 |
| 2022-08-31 | 2.0 |
| 2023-05-31 | 2.0 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 0.3 |
| 2024-11-30 | 3.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 1.5 |
| 2025-07-31 | 3.0 |
| 2025-10-31 | 3.0 |
| 2026-03-31 | 2.0 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2.0 |
Buyer Sentiment Index — Carnelian Bay, CA
OfferLens derived buyer-sentiment proxy (not a Redfin index) · Condo/Co-op
| Period ending | Value (index, 0–100 (proxy)) |
|---|---|
| 2018-09-30 | 27.61904761904762 |
| 2019-06-30 | 39.0163289411765 |
| 2019-08-31 | 24.629629628571433 |
| 2019-09-30 | 32.84313723809524 |
| 2019-10-31 | 64.42441280882358 |
| 2020-03-31 | 20.916712470588244 |
| 2020-06-30 | 18.33333333333333 |
| 2020-07-31 | 32.5934674857143 |
| 2020-08-31 | 29.24603173015876 |
| 2020-09-30 | 49.04761904761905 |
| 2021-04-30 | 94.64285714285714 |
| 2021-05-31 | 83.21516904761907 |
| 2021-11-30 | 80.87301587301587 |
| 2022-08-31 | 62.4 |
| 2023-05-31 | 48.92559152380954 |
| 2023-09-30 | 13.235294117647065 |
| 2024-03-31 | 23.390313380952392 |
| 2024-11-30 | 19.102916647058848 |
| 2025-06-30 | 12.5 |
| 2025-07-31 | 8.333333333333336 |
| 2025-10-31 | 7.0 |
| 2026-03-31 | 32.9 |
| 2026-04-30 | 8.70000000000001 |
| 2026-05-31 | 10.357142857142861 |
Median Sale Price — Carnelian Bay, CA
external_market_factor_snapshots · Condo/Co-op
| Period ending | Value (USD) |
|---|---|
| 2020-03-31 | 525000.0 |
| 2020-06-30 | 480000.0 |
| 2020-07-31 | 462000.0 |
| 2020-08-31 | 417000.0 |
| 2020-09-30 | 459000.0 |
| 2020-10-31 | 517500.0 |
| 2021-04-30 | 601000.0 |
| 2021-05-31 | 561000.0 |
| 2021-06-30 | 727750.0 |
| 2021-11-30 | 775000.0 |
| 2021-12-31 | 560000.0 |
| 2022-05-31 | 765000.0 |
| 2022-08-31 | 850000.0 |
| 2022-11-30 | 965000.0 |
| 2023-05-31 | 795000.0 |
| 2023-09-30 | 870000.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 695000.0 |
| 2024-11-30 | 590000.0 |
| 2025-06-30 | 513000.0 |
| 2025-07-31 | 625000.0 |
| 2025-10-31 | 625000.0 |
| 2026-03-31 | 540000.0 |
| 2026-04-30 | 555000.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 610000.0 |
Unemployment Rate — California
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: FRED · Market-wide
| Period ending | Value (%) |
|---|---|
| 2024-09-01 | 5.4 |
| 2024-10-01 | 5.4 |
| 2024-11-01 | 5.4 |
| 2024-12-01 | 5.4 |
| 2025-01-01 | 5.4 |
| 2025-02-01 | 5.4 |
| 2025-03-01 | 5.4 |
| 2025-04-01 | 5.4 |
| 2025-05-01 | 5.5 |
| 2025-06-01 | 5.5 |
| 2025-07-01 | 5.5 |
| 2025-08-01 | 5.5 |
| 2025-09-01 | 5.5 |
| 2025-11-01 | 5.5 |
| 2025-12-01 | 5.5 |
| 2026-01-01 | 5.4 |
| 2026-02-01 | 5.4 |
| 2026-03-01 | 5.3 |
| 2026-04-01 | 5.3 |
| 2026-05-01 | 5.3 |
| 2026-06-01 | 5.2 |
| 2026-07-01 | 5.1 |
| 2026-08-01 | 5.1 |
| 2026-09-01 | 5.1 |
Vacancy Rates — California
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: FRED · Market-wide
| Period ending | Value (%) |
|---|---|
| 2015-01-01 | 1.2 |
| 2016-01-01 | 1.0 |
| 2017-01-01 | 1.0 |
| 2018-01-01 | 1.2 |
| 2019-01-01 | 1.0 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.7 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.7 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.7 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.7 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.8 |
| 2025-01-01 | 1.1 |
Local Income Growth — California
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: FRED · Market-wide
| Period ending | Value (%) |
|---|---|
| 2016-01-01 | 3.7991379950954807 |
| 2017-01-01 | 4.2095466504394 |
| 2018-01-01 | 4.755689136968666 |
| 2019-01-01 | 5.305439879332385 |
| 2020-01-01 | 9.13591779542271 |
| 2021-01-01 | 10.045935690033957 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.10500388903291746 |
| 2023-01-01 | 5.305551598658398 |
| 2024-01-01 | 6.6934749993851295 |
| 2025-01-01 | 4.836274362904991 |
Mortgage Interest Rates — United States
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: FRED · Market-wide
| Period ending | Value (%) |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 6.36 |
| 2026-05-21 | 6.51 |
| 2026-05-28 | 6.53 |
| 2026-06-04 | 6.48 |
| 2026-06-11 | 6.52 |
| 2026-06-18 | 6.47 |
| 2026-06-25 | 6.49 |
| 2026-07-02 | 6.43 |
| 2026-07-09 | 6.49 |
| 2026-07-16 | 6.55 |
| 2026-07-23 | 6.58 |
| 2026-07-30 | 6.66 |
| 2026-08-06 | 6.69 |
| 2026-08-13 | 6.67 |
| 2026-08-20 | 6.65 |
| 2026-08-27 | 6.66 |
| 2026-09-03 | 6.71 |
| 2026-09-10 | 6.76 |
| 2026-09-17 | 6.95 |
| 2026-09-24 | 7.03 |
| 2026-10-01 | 7.28 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7.4 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7.4 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7.32 |
Inflation Fed Policy — United States
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: FRED · Market-wide
| Period ending | Value (%) |
|---|---|
| 2024-09-01 | 2.4264830315416708 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.578844053871343 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.719472461284833 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.870690967509981 |
| 2025-01-01 | 2.9909783078999608 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.8015834477613355 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.381981462805549 |
| 2025-04-01 | 2.32538823025783 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.3772651073680873 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.680453865910226 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.742618052167134 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.9385917430316155 |
| 2025-09-01 | 3.0225715847133294 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.6964439164939513 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2.653304114557753 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.391201432150014 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.4340041103732224 |
| 2026-03-01 | 3.2859577528651984 |
| 2026-04-01 | 3.7792458367415627 |
| 2026-05-01 | 4.166614684049641 |
| 2026-06-01 | 3.463530729385411 |
| 2026-07-01 | 3.303856050706311 |
| 2026-08-01 | 3.353016322755642 |
| 2026-09-01 | 3.7172508442689933 |
Tech Hiring Layoff Trends — United States
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: FRED · Market-wide
| Period ending | Value (percentage points) |
|---|---|
| 2024-09-01 | 1.7999999999999998 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.3 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.9000000000000001 |
| 2024-12-01 | 0.7000000000000001 |
| 2025-01-01 | 1.0 |
| 2025-02-01 | 1.2999999999999998 |
| 2025-03-01 | 1.3 |
| 2025-04-01 | 1.5999999999999999 |
| 2025-05-01 | 1.7 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1.9 |
| 2025-07-01 | 1.5000000000000002 |
| 2025-08-01 | 1.3 |
| 2025-09-01 | 1.1 |
| 2025-10-01 | 1.4000000000000001 |
| 2025-11-01 | 1.2999999999999998 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.30000000000000004 |
| 2026-01-01 | 0.8999999999999999 |
| 2026-02-01 | 0.7999999999999998 |
| 2026-03-01 | 0.8999999999999999 |
| 2026-04-01 | 0.7999999999999998 |
| 2026-05-01 | 1.5 |
| 2026-06-01 | 0.8999999999999999 |
| 2026-07-01 | 1.2 |
| 2026-08-01 | 0.6 |
Demographic Shifts — Carnelian Bay, CA
U.S. Census Bureau: American Community Survey · Market-wide
| Period ending | Value (percentage points) |
|---|---|
| 2014 | -25.15494412620904 |
| 2015 | -23.317583172086643 |
| 2016 | -22.267218131685 |
| 2017 | -32.02340182648402 |
| 2018 | -27.87694822252058 |
| 2019 | -32.40896019519941 |
| 2020 | -5.165531291780741 |
| 2021 | 1.5176925364258054 |
| 2022 | -3.1749682975021436 |
| 2023 | 7.24269943019943 |
| 2024 | 9.352776173583035 |
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